Prediction market
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21
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Search complete. 112 mentions across 21 episodes found for "Prediction market".
Oct 28, 2026
John FredericksGUEST
Look, we run a news talk sports network.
John FredericksGUEST
And so we're very involved in in the gambling markets and the predictive markets as it relates to athletics and football and hockey.
John FredericksGUEST
And I do picks every day.
John FredericksGUEST
It's part of our network.
John FredericksGUEST
And Tallarico, people were looking at it and saying, hey, this guy is going to get beat.
John FredericksGUEST
So here's what they do.
John FredericksGUEST
They go to the predictive markets and somebody bets $200,000 on Tallarico.
John FredericksGUEST
Now you say, well, $200,000 is a lot of money.
Dustin GoukerHOST
Thank you.
Dustin GoukerHOST
It turns out there are limits on what kind of sports event contracts you can list at Prediction Markets.
Dustin GoukerHOST
We're going to get into that.
Dustin GoukerHOST
We are coming to you live from the final day of Next Predict in New York City, a conference all about Prediction Markets.
Dustin GoukerHOST
My name is Dustin Galker.
Dustin GoukerHOST
I am the host of the Event Horizon podcast, and I write a newsletter of the same name.
6 MINS LATER
Daniel O'BoyleGUEST
I think they're probably better off if this goes away.
Daniel O'BoyleGUEST
And, you know, there's cost to it too.
Jacob SoboroffHOST
I asked you guys about these obviously empty promises and much more at the Union Square Green Market in New York City this week.
Jacob SoboroffHOST
Here's Prediction Markets.
Jacob SoboroffHOST
I'm Jacob.
Jacob SoboroffHOST
I have a show on MSNOW.
7 MINS LATER
Jacob SoboroffHOST
having us.
Jacob SoboroffHOST
Oh, I enjoyed watching that with you, actually.
Jacob SoboroffHOST
I realized that when people just totally make fun of me is the best part of prediction markets.
Jacob SoboroffHOST
Makes me feel great about myself.
Sarah WestallHOST
uh that's why
Clif HighGUEST
problem with the predictive uh website kind of things the predictive markets is that these are not able to these are entirely uh trend projections okay on everybody's part doesn't matter if you get one million people or five million people uh betting on things these people are all individually uh dealing with things as an extension of trends they see happening right now thus these predictive markets will never see something coming in from left field.
Clif HighGUEST
They'll never see the unexpected, and it'll strike them, and that's why they have the depreciating margins down to where they say, well, it's 97.8%, and we have a huge track record, so it'll come out to the 97.8%, right? And in general, that's the truth.
Clif HighGUEST
That's the case, that you can bet with the market because betting against the market means is sort of foolish.
Stephanie MillerHOST
Our favorite, Harry Anton on CNN, marveling at Ramaswamy's worst this century polling among Ohio independents the day before the ad was shared.
Stephanie MillerHOST
The latest numbers from Prediction Market, a polymarket show online.
Stephanie MillerHOST
Ramaswamy, the bipartisan backlash, his numbers cratering as that went on after they confirmed Acton's story.
Stephanie MillerHOST
Polymarket's political gamblers currently give him a 22 percent chance of winning and Acton has a 79 percent chance.
Jody HamiltonHOST
Our favorite, Harry Anton on CNN, marveling at Ramaswamy's worst this century polling among Ohio independents the day before the ad was shared.
Jody HamiltonHOST
The latest numbers from Prediction Market, Polly Market, show Ramaswamy, the bipartisan backlash, his numbers cratering as that went on after they confirmed Acton's story.
Jody HamiltonHOST
Polly Market's political gamblers currently give him a 22% chance of winning, and Acton has a 79% chance.
Jody HamiltonHOST
Again, I don't, you know.
Matt EricksonHOST
There's going to be...
Matt EricksonHOST
I suspect that post-midterms, part of the whole crash out of the polling being wildly discredited is also going to be the betting markets.
Matt EricksonHOST
And there's going to be major federal investigations into these markets that have been intentionally rigged to set these...
Matt EricksonHOST
So...
Matt EricksonHOST
He's mentioned it in a number of places.
Matt EricksonHOST
He's like, it's just part of your marketing budget.
Matt EricksonHOST
Like instead of running ads, I'll just put the money that I would have put into running ads into the betting markets.
Matt EricksonHOST
And a lot of people are, many of these same people I'm talking about are too stupid to understand how the betting markets work.
Nick GillespieHOST
I'm talking today with Tarek Mansour.
Nick GillespieHOST
He's the co-founder of Kalshi, the prediction markets platform that allows people to win or lose money or invest or not money on everything from election results to weather outcomes to who will win dancing with the stars and, of course, all sorts of sports.
Nick GillespieHOST
Thank you so much.
Tarek MansourGUEST
You're 30 years
Nick GillespieHOST
old.
Nick GillespieHOST
You're a billionaire.
Nick GillespieHOST
You're a big believer in prediction markets as truth machines.
Nick GillespieHOST
I want to talk about that in a minute.
Stu BurguiereHOST
And I've got a new candidate countdown as well.
Stu BurguiereHOST
We like to look at a different candidate every day that not only is an interesting race, but also one that might make you a little bit of money on prediction markets.
Stu BurguiereHOST
All that and more is coming up on today's Predictable with Stu.
Stu BurguiereHOST
Welcome to Predictable with Stu.
5 MINS LATER
Stu BurguiereHOST
If your candidates win, you're going to be weighed out at the top.
Stu BurguiereHOST
That's how this works.
Stu BurguiereHOST
So check it out, SenateFantasy.com. And basically, it's telling us since we launched this competition, which is a couple of weeks ago, there has been movement in prediction markets toward Democrats all over the board.
Stu BurguiereHOST
And that has been true every time I've checked it.
Mike SeligGUEST
and we're doing exactly that.
Mike SeligGUEST
We've also brought on a number of new controls and regulations around prediction markets, which, of course, a separate area, but there's a lot of synergy between prediction markets and crypto.
Mike SeligGUEST
A lot of these ideas actually came out of Vitalik Buterin's white paper so many years ago, talking about blockchain-based prediction markets.
Mike SeligGUEST
And so we're looking, of course, prediction markets on-chain, as well as other types of on-chain markets.
Mike SeligGUEST
And that's really been I think a great focus for this agency.
Mike SeligGUEST
So I'd give us a high mark when it comes to crypto and prediction markets.
Mike SeligGUEST
And then of course, although I'm sure less of interest to many of your viewers, we're doing a lot in the traditional markets as well.
Mike SeligGUEST
And I think there was a lot that was done in the wake of the financial crisis that made a ton of sense.
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