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Mason Dodd

Mason Dodd

Aug 17, 2026

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49:05
the...
49:08
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49:11
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49:11
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49:23
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49:25
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49:26
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49:28
Please stop.
6:12
Mm-hmm
6:12
... receiving skill set in college, goes round one.
6:14
And then before he went down with an injury last year, he had two games back to back with over 80% of the snaps.
6:19
And obviously once he got back, he kind of split with Kamari Vidal early.
6:23
But every single week that went on, he had a higher snap rate than the week prior.
6:28
So you can see that they view him as a three down running back.
6:32
And if you look at Sportsbook projections right now, they actually have the Chargers as one of the most improved offenses year over year, both with the offensive line improvements and the offensive coordinator, as you already suggested.

27 MINS LATER

33:38
You are up, my friend.
7:51
Yes.
7:51
'Cause I did a ton of research into this, um, for a really in-depth video.
8:00
But I looked at all of the top running backs and wide receivers that were drafted, uh, the top 36 guys with their ADP, the amount of games that they played, their fantasy football finish, the outcome of these guys, got all the averages for every year that we have Best Ball Mania data, right? Um, so da- going back to 2021.
8:19
So we have a pretty large sample here.
8:21
I made an entire video breaking this down, but what you can see with this a couple different times is, one, the price of these running backs.
8:30
Like we saw in 2024 the average ADP of a top 36 RB being picked 67.
8:35
Now that's up to pick 44, right? So significantly more expensive as opposed to where we've seen the wide receivers, um, fall down dramatically in price.

35 MINS LATER

44:04
Right.
6:40
zone is
6:41
back.
6:42
Has anybody said that phrase to you all year long? That used to be every single person's talking point.
6:49
Can I share my screen real quick? Because I did a ton of research into this for a really in-depth video.
7:00
But I looked at all of the top running backs and wide receivers that were drafted, the top 36 guys with their ADP, the amount of games that they played, their fantasy football finish, the outcome of these guys, got all the averages for every year that we have best ball mania data, right? So going back to 2021, so we have a pretty large sample here.
7:20
I made an entire video breaking this down, but what you can see with this a couple different times is one, the price of these running backs.
7:29
Like we saw in 2024, the average ADP of a top 36 RB being picked 67.

26 MINS LATER

33:56
I have noticed that because you've got to make weird decisions on the turn.
3:43
And, and even in games where the Dolphins were getting blown out, he was still quite good.
3:47
Yeah.
3:48
But if you get the tool loaded up, one thing that's really interesting that you can do here at the turn now is on the combos section you can see expected ownership of the rest of the field on player combos.
3:59
So, like, say you take Gent in round one, you can throw Gent in there, and then you can actually see what percentage of the field should have Gent paired with A.J., Barkley, Chase Brown, Hampton.
4:10
Um, so yeah, just hit combos, then throw Gent.
4:15
So obviously we already selected, um, A.J., so you're not gonna see this as much.
4:20
I'll show you this when we get to the three-four turn.
4:30
This is pr- this is pretty nifty
4:41
And, and even in games where the Dolphins were getting blown out, he was still quite good.
4:46
Yeah.
4:46
But if you get the tool loaded up, one thing that's really interesting that you can do here at the turn now is on the combo section you can see expected ownership of the rest of the field on player combos.
4:58
So, like, say you take Gentty round one.
5:00
You can throw Gentty in there, and then you can actually see what percentage of the field should have Gentty paired with A. Chan, Barkley, Chase Brown, Hampton.
5:09
Um, so yeah, just hit combos.
5:12
Then throw Gentty.
5:28
This is pr- this is pretty nifty
136:12
the three tight end stuff, I feel like if you don't have a tight end by the time level one goes, you just like kinda always need to be doing three is, is sorta how I feel.
136:20
Oh, for sure.
136:21
And I think there's even like a unique outcome for taking Bowers and then two tight ends super, super late.
136:27
Like if you just go through the, um, theoretical world in which you take Bowers or you take McBride, from like the most common outcome, it's horrible to take three tight ends just because they are having to hit your spot so often if they're gonna pay out that pick.
136:42
But like hypothetically, you get an eight-week injury for Bowers or an eight-week injury for McBride.
136:49
The rest of the field goes slim tight end after they take the elite name.
136:52
So the advancement to the actual tournament itself, Bowers is a 4% advanced player, but you sneak him in because you took that extra tight end in round 17, and then you have the 45-point Bower- Bowers game like we had from Kyle Pitts last season.

23 MINS LATER

160:10
Mm-hmm
138:57
Have you, have you been doing, uh, many zero running back teams?
139:01
Yes, I did one.
139:03
That is the first draft yesterday on stream.
139:05
Let me pull up what that team was like.
139:07
That team I took Caleb, Darnold, Young as my quarterbacks.
139:14
Then running back, Hubbard, Kyle Monangai, Dobbins, Jacory Croskey, Merritt, Nicholas Singleton, D.J. Giddens.
139:21
Receiver, um, JSN, Rice, Pickens, Burton, Evans, Concepcion.

6 MINS LATER

145:20
And it is totally, like, buying the ceiling on a pretty uncertain situation, but first-
82:02
Yes.
82:03
And the QBs that go in round seven.
82:05
I haven't been able to make it work where you take like Lamar and Hurts, or Lamar and May, or Jalen Hurts and May.
82:13
Um, so I've kinda given up on that, taking two QBs in that range.
82:18
But what I've really liked especially is like the crap quarterbacks are pushed up the board, is taking like a QB in round six, whether that's like Jalen Hurts, Drake May, Joe Burrow, and then following it up with like the range of guys that are going three to four rounds later, just grab one of them.
82:36
Um, I mean, I think that's like right behind the Purdy range.
82:40
And then going with two QB builds, just at a slight premium, because the third quarterbacks are so much more expensive than they were in the past.
85:56
I mean, they might try and convert this guy Zabian Thomas to running back, but I, I probably need to start taking more Swift and Manungai.
4:54
Mason, why don't you start us off here? Uh, who is your perfect target in round one?
4:59
I'm gonna go ahead and take CeeDee Lamb.
5:01
So the way that I price like what player goes in round one, round two, round three is on my side I have a consensus ADP list where we take the average ADP from Yahoo, ESPN, and Sleeper Drafts.
5:12
And there actually see CeeDee Lamb going behind Justin Jefferson in pick six in a lot of these drafts.
5:17
And if you actually look at the points per game that we've had from the top three wide receivers over the past two seasons with CeeDee Lamb, Jamar Chase, and Justin Jefferson, I went ahead and I looked at all the games in which Dak Prescott played, all the games in which Joe Burrow played, and then obviously we have no games with McCarthy.
5:33
But if we look at all the games with Dak Prescott for CeeDee Lamb, he's actually averaged 22.1 points per game over the past two years.
5:40
Chase with Burrow is averaged 22.0, and Justin Jefferson's been at 19.2. And now that you have the Justin Jefferson potential hamstring question mark, and while McCarthy has a lot of upside but we can't be 100% certain that he's the guy, um, I think CeeDee Lamb's in a really good spot to just potentially be the wide receiver one overall that you can get a pick six.

42 MINS LATER

48:10
But let's hear it.

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