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Mark Davis

Oct 13, 2026

79:19
Oh
79:19
...
79:20
the markets are saying in aggregate, um, at one glance, and also aggregating a lot of forecasters and, um, other models.
79:29
So what we're seeing right up here is if you were to take the individual markets and run random draws of who wins based on the market odds, this is how many seats there would be.
79:40
This is what the distribution of random draws looks like.
79:43
So if you look at the Senate seat market on the right, the individual markets seem to be a little, uh, more towards Republicans than Democrats.
79:54
So I would say this means there's more value on individual markets.

13 MINS LATER

92:37
W- w- how do you, how, how would you like to know that this tool you've built has been used at the end of the election? What would make you proud?

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