Marist Poll

It's 51-43.

It's Marist, right? That's Marist? It's a Marist poll, yeah.

Marist poll.

How's their track record? 51.

It matches with other polling, though.

There needs to be no comeback because no one's voted yet.

But this matches what a lot of Republicans have told me, that Ohio is not slipping away, but close to outside the margin of error.

Here's the Senate race as well, or sorry, the governor's race as well in Ohio in the Marist Poll 107.

That was notable.

Stuart, a new Marist poll found that President Trump is factoring.

So the fact that he exists, the fact that he is who he is, is factoring into how people are conceiving of their votes during the midterms.

45% say that their vote will most likely be a vote against Donald Trump.

And now we have 11, 12 polls within the margin of error.

We have two polls in two weeks, like big reputable polls, Siena poll, Marist poll showing us beating Greg Abbott.

So yeah, this is a real race.

We are neck and neck and we are searching at just the right time.

I know we need to talk about this a lot more.

But before both of you go, I do wanna put to you some of the new findings from our new PBS News, NPR-Marist poll that was out this week.

We saw some expected divides there when it comes to how people are voting for their congressional members.

A lot of MAGA Republicans saying they're voting to support Trump, Democrats voting to oppose him.

It comes as just 17% say they approve of the way Trump has handled the cost of living, an issue many Americans say will determine how they vote in November.

Meanwhile, the latest Marist Poll finds independent voters give Democratic congressional candidates a significant 25-point advantage on the generic ballot.

Compare that to 2022 when independents favored Republicans by 12 points, and in 2018 when independents favored Democrats by six points.

Willie.

That's what's happening.

So you take a look at Texas, the latest Marist poll there.

Remember I showed you the Iowa poll where you have the Democratic candidates for Senate and governor leading there? Well, in Texas, the Marist poll has James Talarico up by six in that Senate race, and Gina Hinojosa, the Democratic candidate there, leads Greg Abbott by three percent.

Folks, there's something special happening right now.

This isn't hopium.

Right.

Well, uh, there's this NPR, uh, Marist poll, uh, released in May.

83% of US adults support term limits right now.

Self-identifi- identified Republicans 89%.

Tallarico expands his advantage with Hispanic voters from 10 to 38 percent.

Ellis Bates, who is an election analyst at the Marist Poll and Vote Hub, says an extremely impressive poll for Tallarico from SoCal.

He leads Paxton by five points at 50 percent, netting seven points since June.

38-point advantage among Hispanics, up 28 points since the last poll, nine points above Beto O'Rourke's 2018 numbers, which is of interest.