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Kyle D. Kondik

Kyle D. Kondik

Search complete. 47 mentions across 22 episodes found for "Kyle D. Kondik".

Nov 5, 2026

Indira LakshmananHOST
11:00
It's part of a broader nationwide story this election.
Indira LakshmananHOST
11:04
To understand it better, we're joined now by Kyle Kondik.
Indira LakshmananHOST
11:07
He's managing editor of Sabado's Crystal Ball, an elections newsletter from the University of Virginia's Center for Politics.
Indira LakshmananHOST
11:13
Welcome, Kyle.
Indira LakshmananHOST
15:56
All right.
Indira LakshmananHOST
15:56
So there's going to have to be some realignment within that party as well.
Indira LakshmananHOST
16:00
Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabado's Crystal Ball, an elections newsletter from UVA.
Indira LakshmananHOST
16:05
Kyle, thanks so much.
Stephanie HaneyHOST
2:50
It's great to be here.
Stephanie HaneyHOST
2:51
And with us by video call, we have Kyle Kondik, managing editor at Sabado's Crystal Ball.
Stephanie HaneyHOST
2:56
Kyle, welcome to the show.
Kyle KondikGUEST
2:58
Thanks for having me.
Stephanie HaneyHOST
2:59
Also with us by video call, we have Janine Boyd, political strategist and former Democratic state representative for Ohio House District 9.
Stephanie HaneyHOST
3:15
Thank you for having me.
Stephanie HaneyHOST
3:17
If you want to join this conversation, you can give us a call at 866-578-0903, or you can email us at soi at ideastream.org. You can also message us on Instagram at the sound of ideas.
Stephanie HaneyHOST
3:30
Now we have Kyle for a limited amount of time.
Kyle KondikGUEST
2:26
The campaign does reach a fever pitch, but also a lot of the arguments have already been made.
Grennell ScottHOST
2:30
Kyle Kondik is managing editor at Sabato's Crystal Ball, a nonpartisan newsletter offering political analysis.
Kyle KondikGUEST
2:38
You wouldn't really expect to see any sort of surprising developments.
Kyle KondikGUEST
2:42
You know, Republicans, I think in particular, are reliant on a stronger Election Day turnout because the early vote, you know, generally skews a little bit more Democratic anyway.

10 MINS LATER

Kyle KondikGUEST
13:03
If it happens, it's just we may not know it happened until a while.
Kyle KondikGUEST
13:07
I remember back in 2020, the presidential race wasn't actually called until Saturday after the election, even though we had a general sense as to where things were going.
Grennell ScottHOST
13:16
Kyle Kondik is managing editor of Sabado's Crystal Ball.
Grennell ScottHOST
13:20
We have interesting times ahead.
Richard DeitschHOST
47:52
Previous podcast, last couple ones.
Richard DeitschHOST
47:54
I went off the board totally for the last one with Kyle Kondik, who's the managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball, where we talked about election forecasting.
Richard DeitschHOST
48:02
That was a lot of fun and hopefully relevant as the U.S. midterms are coming up on Saturday.
Richard DeitschHOST
48:07
Tuesday, we've done a ton of roundtables.
Jason RosenbaumHOST
34:26
One of the publications that declared the second district seat a toss-up is Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball, which is part of the University of Virginia's Center for Politics.
Jason RosenbaumHOST
34:35
Here's Crystal Ball managing editor Kyle Kondik explaining the rationale for the ratings change.
Kyle KondikSOUNDBITE_SPEAKER
34:41
It was part of a bucket of other races, about a half dozen across the country that we wanted to flag as, you know, potential seats that could flip if Democrats really kind of blow things out.
Kyle KondikSOUNDBITE_SPEAKER
34:52
And if maybe they get ahead of above 235 House seats, which is 235 is the number they won in 2018.
Kyle KondikSOUNDBITE_SPEAKER
35:25
And I think it's also developed a little bit late because of the redistricting saga and whatnot.
Kyle KondikSOUNDBITE_SPEAKER
35:30
And the district would have been a little bit better for Wagner had the lines actually changed, but they didn't.
Jason RosenbaumHOST
35:37
That was Larry Sabato's crystal ball managing editor, Kyle Kondik, explaining why the second congressional district in Missouri is now a toss up.
Jason RosenbaumHOST
35:45
Now, to be clear, Rachel, there are other prognosticators that still see it as lean or likely Republican.
speaker_17SOUNDBITE_SPEAKER
20:21
Ken Paxton is just far too corrupt for Texas.
Audie CornishHOST
20:26
Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at, is it Sabato? Sabato.
Audie CornishHOST
20:31
It's Sabato's Crystal Ball at the UVA Center for Politics.
Audie CornishHOST
20:34
Join us in group chat.
Richard DeitschHOST
1:42
And the gentleman who I'm bringing on today, in my opinion, is absolutely one of the best if you want to follow someone who's an election forecaster because he's incredibly thoughtful, works for an incredible organization and helps educate me and I think those who read him on what is obviously a very, very important topic.
Richard DeitschHOST
2:00
Kyle Kondik is the managing editor of Sabado's Crystal Ball.
Richard DeitschHOST
2:03
That's the University of Virginia Center for Politics.
Richard DeitschHOST
2:06
It is a nonpartisan election forecasting newsletter.

49 MINS LATER

Richard DeitschHOST
50:41
All right.
Richard DeitschHOST
50:41
Follow Kyle's work, obviously.
Richard DeitschHOST
50:44
Kyle Kondik from the Sabados Crystal Ball, the managing editor there.
Richard DeitschHOST
50:48
Kyle, thank you very much.
Major GarrettHOST
6:45
Puffer vest and the whole thing.
Major GarrettHOST
6:46
And Kyle Kondik for Data Central.
Major GarrettHOST
6:49
Anthony, of course, CBS News Executive Director of Elections and Surveys.
Major GarrettHOST
6:52
Kyle, Managing Editor of Saboteau's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia's Center for Politics.
Anthony SalvantoGUEST
10:31
Now, maybe with swings in the Hispanic vote, they may not.
Anthony SalvantoGUEST
10:34
That's kind of your house map and your house landscape there, kind of viewer's guide as we head into Election Day.
Major GarrettHOST
10:40
Anthony Salvanto, Kyle Kondik, thank you very, very much.
Major GarrettHOST
10:42
And a reminder, CBS News 24-7 is covering the midterms every single day with updates on the most important races across the country.
Donald TrumpSOUNDBITE_SPEAKER
21:34
But if I need to go, I'd go.
Audie CornishHOST
21:37
So joining us in the group chat, Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the UVA Center for Politics.
Audie CornishHOST
21:44
Okay, Mississippi, for real.
Kyle KondikGUEST
21:48
I mean, I don't think the Democrats are actually going to win down there, but both parties are spending money in that state now.
speaker_0HOST
0:47
Currently, the Republicans hold the House, but it seems very likely to flip to the Democrats.
speaker_0HOST
0:53
MUSIC Kyle Kondik is managing director of Sabato's Crystal Ball.
speaker_0HOST
1:02
That's a very well-respected newsletter put out by the University of Virginia.
speaker_0HOST
1:07
It's
speaker_0HOST
1:26
So what about the Senate? It's made up of two senators for every state, so 100 in total.
speaker_0HOST
1:33
They get elected to a six-year term, and every two years, a third of the Senate is up for re-election.
speaker_0HOST
1:40
So looking into that crystal ball, what does Kyle Kondik think the chances are that the Democrats could also flip the Senate?
Kyle KondikSOUNDBITE_SPEAKER
1:48
You know, I think for most of the cycle, it seemed like Republicans would hold on to the Senate.

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