Kate Bolduan

the GOP is far more likely to outperform their final Senate poll averages by 4.1 points in the states that Trump won.

And we know in this election cycle, Kate, that the Democrats need to win in a lot of Trump states in order to win control of the Senate.

And not just Trump states, but states that Trump won by double digits back in 2024.

So you see this 4.1.

They would hold on to Texas.

They would hold on.

I'm coming to Kate's side of the board.

They'd hold on to Alaska.

The GOP is... far more likely to outperform their final Senate poll averages by 4.1 points in the states that Trump won.

And we know in this election cycle, Kate, that the Democrats need to win in a lot of Trump states in order to win control of the Senate.

And not just Trump states, but states that Trump won by double digits back in 2024.

So you see this 4.1.

They would hold on to Texas.

They would hold on.

I'm coming to Kate's side of the board.

They'd hold on to Alaska.

That's key.

And Kate, the Trump factor.

So if you look here, nearly six in 10 voters in our poll say that Donald Trump is a factor, and by a margin of two to one, it's a factor in opposition to him.

Yeah, it's a bad factor.

Learning.

Kate, we're learning bits and pieces of what's happening here, but there is a search that was going on this morning or is going on still at the home of Ilhan Omar, the Democratic representative from Minnesota, who is also running again for Congress in the middle of this election season.

This would be her D.C. area home.

And the confirmation we've gotten of this is from the Justice Department itself.

was going to ask more about that caitlin because it being so close to an election there there are generally speaking we've seen this discussed and very much highlighted in terms of past investigations and what what does or should happen um within a certain number of days of an election what is the justice department saying about this

Right.

Well, Kate, there's a longstanding policy at the Department of Justice.

It's not a hard and fast rule, but it is a policy that the Department of Justice needs to take a lot of precautions in the 60 days before an election.

NASA extended the mission through 2028, so, guys, it looks like this rover has miles yet to go, and maybe many more records to break.

I'm Kate Bolduan.

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Caitlin, what are you learning?

Kate, we're learning bits and pieces of what's happening here, but there is a search that was going on this morning or is going on still at the home of Ilhan Omar, the Democratic representative from Minnesota, who is also running again for Congress in the middle of this election season.

Could be some level of immigration fraud.

We don't have any of that substantiated at this time, and there haven't been any criminal charges or other immigration enforcement actions against Representative Omar.