Hal Brands

He has worked for the US Department of Defense, the RAND Corporation, and the Carnegie Endowment of International Peace, and he continues to advise offices within the US intelligence community.

He is the author of Unrivaled: Why America Will Remain the World's Sole Superpower, and with Hal Brands, Danger Zone: The Coming Conflict with China.

His recent essays in Foreign Affairs and The New York Times argue that we have entered a stagnant order, an era in which growth is no longer guaranteed and no great power is truly rising anymore.

Today, we explore why the era of easy growth has ended, why stagnation makes nations more dangerous, and how to hold on to agency when the future stops expanding.

That said, given the stakes involved and the potential consequences, both positive and negative, of this technological revolution we're witnessing, it's probably prudent to think about how the United States might approach handling this at the international level.

So we read an article by Hal Brands, whose work we've discussed previously is in foreign affairs called America's Superintelligence Dilemma.

By the way, his definition of AGI, artificial general intelligence, was AI models that are capable of doing a variety, if not most human tasks, as well as if not better than humans and super intelligence as being models that can do basically anything much better than humans.

I don't know what to make.