Fred Hubbell

Based on these big-picture factors, why shouldn't 2026 be as bad or even worse for Republicans than 2018 was? Iowa did not have a U.S.

Senate election in 2018, but in that midterm election, the first during Trump's first term in the White House, Iowa Democrats won three of four congressional elections and Republican Governor Kim Reynolds won her first full term in office by less than three percentage points over Democrat Fred Hubbell.

Hinson just broke with Trump on Iran, and she also released an ad emphasizing bipartisanship, telling signs of a candidate adjusting to a threatening environment, Kondik wrote.

This is all enough for us to now view Iowa's Senate as a toss-up as opposed to a leans Republican race.

Josh Turek is less well-known than Ashley Hinson, so that's if you want to be optimistic for the Turek side, you could look at that and say he still has time to become better known.

was going back and looking at some of my past coverage of Ashley Hinson, she was the only Iowa House Republican who won in 2018 in a district that voted for Hillary Clinton and Fred Hubbell.

So she has demonstrated that she can get a little bit of crossover vote from whatever small percentage It is she can get some votes for people who are voting for Democrats for other offices.

So I think that it was a pretty encouraging poll for Hinson.