David Dunning

I mean, I know the song, everybody was Kung Fu.

Yeah, everybody knows that song, right? And by the way, I thought it was David.

Wasn't his name David Carradine?

It may have been David Carradine.

Not Keith Carradine.

I was very young, but I remember watching his show Kung Fu, right? But it seemed like it was on at the same time that like Dukes of Hazzard and all that stuff was on.

And that's where I think a lot of this comes from today in social media.

The Dunning-Kruger effect, is a cognitive bias where people with low skill or limited knowledge in a specific area greatly overestimate their own competence.

Confident and wrong feel exactly the same from the inside.

Cornell psychologist named David Dunning read about the case.

He and a graduate student, Justin Kruger, wanted to know why people who are bad at something so often think they're good at it.

Their 1999 paper became the Dunning-Kruger Effect.

When he entered those banks and robbed them, he was convinced that nobody would be able to recognize him because his face was completely invisible and he was wrong.

MacArthur's foible struck a chord with a Cornell psychologist named David Dunning, who took time away from his regularly scheduled ketamine-fueled orgies to investigate the case.

And in 1999, Dunning and his co-author, Justin Kruger, published a paper called Unskilled and Unaware of It.

In the paper, they postulated that the less knowledge a person has of a certain subject, the more they overestimate their confidence.

If we get a lot of Bs in our food choices, that's not a horrible thing, actually.

It also reminded me of David Dunning recently said something.

Now, he's the creator of the Dunning-Kruger effect, which has to do with sort of on a scale, what Dunning and Kruger found is that people who are not skilled tend to overestimate their skills.

And people who are really skilled tend to predictably, accurately assess their skill level in things.

And he said, David Dunning said, you need to be a good chess player in order to determine if you're really a good chess player.

You have to be skilled in order to understand how skilled you are.

And if we're going to become good at nutrition, then we have to actually develop some skills around it.

Let me explain why.

Back in 1999, psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger published research examining how accurately people assess their own abilities.

Their research found that some of the lowest performing participants substantially overestimated their performance.

The underlying explanation was particularly interesting.

It's kind of taken on a life of its own.

So when people talk about it, like online or whatever, they're not necessarily referring to the real But what David Dunning and Justin Kruger found in their original study is that if you ask people to do a task and you measure how good they are at it, and then you ask them to rate how good they are at it, you'll find that the people who are the worst at the task... are the ones who have the biggest amount of overconfidence.

And in fact, in some of their studies, they found that the people who were best at the same task actually had some underconfidence.

And one reason their study became so popular is they used tasks like sense of humor.

The Dunning-Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which people with limited knowledge or skill in a particular area tend to overestimate their own competence, while people with greater expertise are often more aware of the complexity of the subject and may be more cautious about judging their own ability.

This classic idea comes from a 1999 paper by psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger, titled Unskilled and Unaware of It, How Difficulties in Recognizing One's Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessments, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, Vol.

77, No. 6, 1121-1134.

Citing Miller, 1993, 4, the paper open with this, it is one of the essential features of such incompetence that the person so afflicted is incapable of knowing that he is incompetent.

And this brings us to one of the most famous concepts in psychology, the Dunning-Kruger effect.

And psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger published their landmark research in 1999.

Their work suggested that people who lack skill in a particular area may face a double problem.

They may make mistakes because they don't possess sufficient knowledge or skill.

In plenty of cases, it's the opposite.

This connects directly to something called the Dunning-Kruger effect, documented by David Dunning and Justin Kruger in 1999.

Their research showed that incompetent people systematically overestimate their own abilities because they don't have the metacognitive skill to recognize incompetence, including their own.

They don't know enough about the domain to see how much they don't know.