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Daniel Ivascyn

Daniel Ivascyn

Chief investment officer of PIMCO

Jul 29, 2026

19:28
It's not just, you know, buying stocks or buying corporate bonds.
19:32
Well, great.
19:32
So let me start in the most simple place.
19:34
Uh, and, and you mentioned this earlier, that, you know, governments have spent a lot of money, uh, in, uh, in, in recent years.
19:39
Uh, in the US, we're running big deficits.
19:41
Now you have these multi-trillion dollar, uh, investment needs, um, from all of these technological or technology firms, energy infrastructure-oriented firms, and this is all very well advertised.
19:53
So, you know, uh, these numbers are large, and they're numbers that the market's quite aware of.
24:36
So in a multi-asset portfolio context, like how do we need to think about bond allocations today differently, if at all, than it was five to ten years ago?
7:44
talk about it a lot
7:45
and perhaps we oversimplify things, but it felt like late last year, earlier this year, there was a lot of focus on AI as a technology that was becoming more and more efficient very, very quickly.
8:01
And this idea from a macro perspective that this could drive broad efficiency, lead to increased productivity and through more efficiency, lower costs.
8:12
It'd be really, really helpful from a top line economic sense.
8:18
Risk assets were doing quite well while bonds were rallying.
8:23
And in fact, we had a very well behaved market where we started with attractive yields, which again, we're going to talk about later.
8:30
But also we had a nice, well-behaved market where rates were trending lower.
12:36
Squash it down.
21:03
Yeah
21:03
... up still in the Ukraine, uh, with a risk of, of escalation.
21:07
Uh, actual war in the Middle East alongside the type of direct trade tensions, geopolitical tensions, extreme, uh, political uncertainty within this country.
21:19
Uh, you look over at the UK, similar dynamic.
21:22
You look at elections all around the world now, you tend to have, um, candidates from extreme perspectives, typically battling it out for control of countries.
21:32
Uh, there is very little true middle nowadays.
21:35
So, you know, our, our, our, our point with the piece is that, you know, you're starting with, uh, financial market valuations that are high.

6 MINS LATER

28:09
And what is happening today has been a continued, um, remarkable push through all of these dangers.
39:17
(laughs)
39:17
... as well and having a bunch of rising stars, which I don't think a lot of people were necessarily expecting.
39:23
But talk a little bit more about the rating agencies.
39:27
What are the pressures that you think are perhaps driving them to rate some of these structures higher than they otherwise might be? Well, a- a- again, there, there are multiple rating agencies that have different philosophies to, to how they arrive at a rating.
39:43
And there's gonna be, you know, understandable disagreement, you know, within markets.
39:47
But issuers are quite shrewd.
39:49
You know, they're gonna go to where they get the most favorable, uh, ratings treatment.

11 MINS LATER

51:00
Yeah.

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