Complex system

These national chapters also synthesize relevant content from the regional chapters.

New national topic chapters for NCA4 include chapter thirteen, Air Quality, chapter sixteen, Climate Effects on US International Interests, and chapter seventeen, Sector Interactions, Multiple Stressors, and Complex Systems.

Regional chapters.

Responding to public demand for more localized information, and because impacts and adaptation tend to be realized at a more local level, NCA4 provides greater detail in the regional chapters compared to the national topic chapters.

Where supported by the underlying literature, authors were encouraged to describe the full scope of potential climate change impacts, both negative and positive, including more extreme impacts that are less likely but would have severe consequences, and communicate the range of potential impacts and their probabilities of occurrence.

Describe the likelihood of the consequences associated with the range of potential impacts, the character and quality of the consequences, both negative and positive, and the strength of available evidence.

Communicate cascading effects among and within complex systems, and quantify risks that could be avoided by taking action.

Additional detail on how risk is defined for this report, as well as how risk-based framing was used, is available in Chapter 1, Overview.

skills passed from one generation to the next, the knowledge of how to grow food, purify water, repair engines, wire a building, deliver a baby, preserve medicine, resolve conflict, and rebuild after a storm.

When complex systems fail, the people who matter most are often not the people with the most abstract power.

They are the people who know how things actually work.

A civilization that preserves knowledge can recover from damage.

Put my last podcast was with Mike Lawson, right? And he had the exact same thing.

He said, "I got fired from my job because I gave my agents so much of my understanding of accessibility and how to test these complex systems, they no longer needed me." I-

But is that true? I- was he really not needed? He was able to be replaced by an AI agent.

You've actually seen that in real life.

Now, I've not seen a browser for five, 10 years, and that might make me different to most of the people who are on this call.

But unfortunately, our over-focus of browsers has meant that we've not really innovated.

If you think about all those smart guys in Israel who were still the same smart guys, they were coming up with ways to deal with highly complex systems.

And then what we've done is we've automated browsers, right? Which literally takes 30 seconds.

Do you have any thoughts on open and closed systems in your work or how that relates to cognitive warfare?

I did study and I still do study complex systems in general.

Yes.

general and it's fundamental as well I think to understand my work but I try not to use the the jargon I would say the scientific because at the end of the day it's also like very it's kind of analogies or metaphors you know from physics and you know from from world of science that is not my field so i don't feel necessarily legitimate sometimes you know to use the analogy for everything and the metaphor but i still find it extremely useful to understand the world we live in these ideas indeed of closed and open systems but again from my experience also and because i have an experience very you know human oriented with humans When you put a human into the systems, they have, you know, we must have the art of transforming, you know.

These national chapters also synthesize relevant content from the regional chapters.

New national topic chapters for NCA4 include: chapter thirteen, Air Quality; chapter sixteen, Climate Effects on US International Interests; and chapter seventeen, Sector Interactions, Multiple Stressors, and Complex Systems.

Regional chapters.

Responding to public demand for more localized information, and because impacts and adaptation tend to be realized at a more local level, NCA4 provides greater detail in the regional chapters compared to the national topic chapters.

Where supported by the underlying literature, authors were encouraged to Describe the full scope of potential climate change impacts, both negative and positive, including more extreme impacts that are less likely but would have severe consequences, and communicate the range of potential impacts and their probabilities of occurrence.

Describe the likelihood of the consequences associated with the range of potential impacts, the character and quality of the consequences, both negative and positive, and the strength of available evidence.

Communicate cascading effects among and within complex systems, and quantify risks that could be avoided by taking action.

Additional detail on how risk is defined for this report, as well as how risk-based framing was used, is available in Chapter 1, Overview.

It was founded by the senior fellows who were like the people at Los Alamos that are viewed as, you know, the particularly outstanding people.

And they decided that complex systems was something that needed a home and Los Alamos wasn't probably the right place for it.

needed to be more open.

And I think also they like to hang out in Santa Fe.

I've gotten used to it.

Yeah, I mean, I think particularly economics.

Economics is very resistant to these ideas, even though in some sense, Adam Smith could be regarded as the first complex systems thinker.

And certainly economics is a natural home for this kind of work.

Heading 2.

On Miracles Buried Inside Complex Systems I reply, conservation of momentum is not a surface generalization over a whole system, the way that a law of white swans would be a surface generalization over whole swans.

The law on closed systems follows from the generalization that every individual interaction within known physics conserves momentum.

Whole molecules conserve momentum because the molecules are made of atoms, and the atoms are made of nucleons and electrons, and every known interaction of the nucleons and electrons conserves momentum.

Welcome to Complex Systems, where we discuss the technical, organizational, and human factors underpinning why the world works the way it does.

Hi to you, everyone.

My name is Patrick McKenzie, better known as Patty11 on the internet.

And given that that side of the table represents something like a percent of global GDP, it might get listened to.

So I anticipate that Bits About Money will revisit the wallet business at a later date.

But until then, thanks very much for listening to Complex Systems and see you next week.

Thanks for tuning in to this week's episode of Complex Systems.

If you have comments, drop me an email or hit me up at Paddy11 on Twitter.

These national chapters also synthesize relevant content from the regional chapters.

New national topic chapters for NCA4 include chapter thirteen, Air Quality, chapter sixteen, Climate Effects on U.S. International Interests, and chapter seventeen, Sector Interactions, Multiple Stressors, and Complex Systems.

Regional chapters.

Responding to public demand for more localized information, and because impacts and adaptation tend to be realized at a more local level, NCA4 provides greater detail in the regional chapters compared to the national topic chapters.

Where supported by the underlying literature, authors were encouraged to describe the full scope of potential climate change impacts, both negative and positive, including more extreme impacts that are less likely but would have severe consequences, and communicate the range of potential impacts and their probabilities of occurrence.

Describe the likelihood of the consequences associated with the range of potential impacts, the character and quality of the consequences, both negative and positive, and the strength of available evidence.

Communicate cascading effects among and within complex systems and quantify risks that could be avoided by taking action.

Additional detail on how risk is defined for this report, as well as how risk-based framing was used, is available in Chapter 1, Overview.

This is episode 309.

What are the key characteristics of complex systems, and what are practical patterns for tackling complex coding problems? Christopher Trudeau is back on the show this week with another batch of PyCoders weekly articles and projects.

Christopher covers an article about working on complex systems.

The piece explores the distinction between complicated and complex problems.

Each requires a fundamentally different approach to solve.

So thanks, Rohit.

What's your first one here?

My first article this week is by Teva Harsanyi, and it's titled Working on Complex Systems.