Climate model

It was in that capacity that he and his longtime co-author, Dr. Roy Spencer, published the first atmospheric temperature series based on a satellite monitoring technology, namely microwave emissions in the troposphere and stratosphere, as captured by NASA satellites.

For this work, which we reference elsewhere this week, they received multiple honors and, for a little while, professional adulation.

until people noticed that the satellites weren't showing the warming predicted by climate models.

Then the academic and political atmosphere became decidedly frosty.

Christie soldiered on, compiling data from two other sources, weather balloons and so-called reanalysis data, which is based on outputs of short-term weather forecasting models.

According to a major new paper published in Science Advances, the AMOC may be weakening more quickly than previously thought.

The study, led by Valentin Portman and colleagues, combines real-world ocean observations with climate models and concludes that the circulation could weaken by around 50% by the end of this century, which is significantly worse than earlier model averages.

The authors aren't saying collapse is imminent, but they are suggesting that the system may be closer to a critical threshold or tipping point than previously believed.

And that conclusion does seem to align with other recent findings.

Even if you implemented all of these recommendations by then, to the state of Oregon and eliminated all of Oregon's CO2 emissions, that's only 0.18% of the global emissions.

It wouldn't even make a dent in the atmospheric CO2 levels, even if you believe their climate models were correct, but they aren't, and I'm going to show that in just a few minutes.

So this is a completely fraudulent type of thing.

It's politics, not science, but yet they went ahead and did it, and they signed their names to it because they get a lot of research money for this.

So let's go to the next slide.

And so when we get into this discussion about why we're getting these crazy predictions of climate change and CO2, well, what are we talking about when they did this? Like I said, the founding principles that I just discussed had no expectation whatsoever that you were gonna be able to change anything with CO2.

And so everybody accepted that until the modeling showed up and they made this huge effort to do climate models.

And this is basically how a model works.