Chuck Rocha

They they've got good data.

Sean, you've had Chuck Rocha on a lot.

They they're constantly in the field.

They have a lot of money.

All right, today in the group chat, Mario Parker, managing editor of economy and government at Bloomberg News.

Chuck Rocha, democratic strategist and former senior advisor to Bernie Sanders' presidential campaigns.

And Ashley Davis, former White House official under President George W. Bush.

Welcome all.

Thank you for all you Americans, Democrats, even Republicans.

I'm glad you went to vote.

But for all of you, let's call you keyboard pundits, folks who don't make a living like Chuck Rocha does running elections, Early vote numbers are just numbers.

But I am super excited, and you should get excited, because a lot of people are early voting.

That margin is roughly double what it was a year ago.

The question now is, are the polls right? And if they are, what kind of impact should we be bracing for? Joining us, MSNOW senior White House reporter Vaughn Hillyard, still with us, senior advisor for the Lincoln Project and Mitt Romney's chief strategist for his 2012 presidential campaign, Stuart Stevens, executive editor at The Nation, John Nichols, and Democratic strategist and senior advisor to the James Tallarico campaign, Chuck Rocha.

Chuck, I feel weird being in Texas and not sitting next to you, but I'll take what I can get.

Having you on a satellite is fine for me as well.

All right.

We will see.

Chuck Rocha, really good to have you.

John Nichols, you too.

But even that massive advantage might not be enough because this week we also learned that during that same period, Elon Musk- Has given $289 million to help support Republicans.

And the question is, will all that billionaire money help Republicans close the gap, or will it just feed into a corruption narrative that is already defining this election? Joining me now is Chuck Rocha, Democratic strategist and senior advisor to James Talarico's Senate campaign in Texas.

Also with me is Rob Flaherty, former deputy campaign manager for Kamala Harris.

We got the big dogs out tonight.

And, and never mind the polls, whether it's the Fox News polls, or never mind the, the exit voter surveys.

Uh, Democratic strategist Chuck Rocha made the point that Democrats are seeing Republicans pull out of a lot of key districts where Republicans had put money and resources, and they're essentially giving up and changing and moving the firewall now to some very strong Republican districts that you would have thought several months ago they would never need to spend any money on.

Here is cut number three, Chuck Rocha speaking on MS now.

There's something that doesn't lie in politics, and that is money placement and where you're going.

What we're seeing now, and we're working in congressional races from New York, Texas, California, James Talarico, as you said, but many, many, like 25 House races.