Canadian Grain Commission

Canadian wheat exports continue to outperform last year's pace, reinforcing Canada's importance as a reliable supplier during the ongoing international shipping disruptions.

Canadian Grain Commission Week 10 reported non-Durham wheat exports of 618,000 tonnes, bringing cumulative shipments to 5.08 millimetre tonnes, up 18.7% year-over-year.

Durham exports reached approximately 942,000 tonnes, up 68% over last year, with combined wheat and Durham movement now totaling 6%.

just over 6 million metric tons and more than 24% ahead of last year's pace.

The IGC maintained Canadian wheat production at 36.3 mmt, noting that September's prolonged rainfall primarily affected quality rather than overall production.

The Council also drew comparisons with the difficult 2019 harvest when significant sprouting in mildew occurred, but substantial volumes of wheat ultimately remained suitable for milling.

Preliminary Canadian Grain Commission results now show considerably less No. 1 CWRS than last year, 38% grading No. 1 and another 38.4% grading No. 2, placing approximately 77% in the top two grades, versus 91% in the top two grades last year.

Fusarium damage, lower HVK counts, sprouting, and mildew remain important downgrading factors.

Canadian wheat exports continue to outperform last year's pace, reinforcing Canada's importance as a reliable supplier during the ongoing international shipping disruptions.

Canadian Grain Commission week ten reported non-durum wheat exports of six hundred and eighteen thousand tons, bringing cu- cumulative shipments to five point zero eight million metric tons, up eighteen point seven percent year-over-year.

Durum exports reached approximately nine hundred and forty-two thousand tons, up sixty-eight percent over last year, with combined wheat and durum now, movement now totaling six, just over six million metric tons and more than twenty-four percent ahead of last year's pace.

Maintaining this pace will be important as Australia and Argentina begin to introduce additional new crop supplies into international markets in the coming months.

The IGC maintained Canadian wheat production at thirty-six point three million metric tons, noting that September's prolonged rainfall primarily affected quality rather than overall production.

The council also drew comparisons with the difficult twenty nineteen harvest, when significant sprouting and mildew occur- occurred, but substantial volumes of wheat ultimately remained suitable for milling.

Preliminary Canadian Grain Commission results now show considerably less number one CWRS than last year.

Thirty-eight percent grading number one and another thirty-eight point four percent grading number two, placing approximately seventy-seven percent in the top two grades versus ninety-one percent in the top two grades last year.

The quality problems could reduce supplies of higher-grade wheat and pulse crops, potentially creating export opportunities for U.S. producers.

The Canadian Grain Commission is expected to release more crop quality information in November.

Brazil expecting a larger corn crop as demand from the ethanol industry continues to grow.

Brazil's national supply company CONAB forecasts production at 148 million metric tons for 2026-2027.

Canadian wheat exports continue to outperform last year's pace by a considerable margin and remain one of the most encouraging developments in the market.

Through the Canadian Grain Commission's week nine, non-durum wheat exports reached four point four four million metric tons, which is up over twenty-four percent from last year, while durum exports climbed to approximately eight hundred and fifty thousand tons, an increase of eighty-one percent year over year.

It's important to keep in mind that it is early in the shipping season, and a lot of the new crop supplies are just hitting the markets due to the late harvest.

Western Canadian harvest has made considerable progress following another week of favorable field conditions.

Despite the difficult weather conditions encountered during September, the overall quality picture may not be as poor as initially feared, although a meaningful portion of the later harvested crop continues to show weather-related damage.

Canadian spring wheat quality remains an important development, with the latest grading results showing substantially less number one CWRS than last year.

The Canadian Grain Commission's harvest samples currently show thirty-eight point four percent grading in number one CWRS and another thirty-eight percent grading number two, placing approximately seventy-seven percent in the top two grades, compared to ninety-one percent in last year's final results.

The number one share is particularly noteworthy, having declined from seventy-one percent last year to just over thirty-eight percent in the current samples.

There were some questions regarding falling number and how that relates to grain grading.

So Lindsay interviewed Derek Benkowski of the Canadian Grain Commission to discuss that issue as well here today.

Hey, if you have any feedback on today's show, we'd love to hear from you.

Send me an email, shaney at realagriculture.com. You can also call or text the Real Ag Feedback Line, 855-776-6147.

So when we have this, we start to talk about grain grading and some of the impacts on farm pricing, right? It's not just about what the future is and what the basis is.

There's also grading that plays an impact as well.

And now we're going to hear a conversation that Lyndsey Smith had with Derek Bunkowski with the Canadian Grain Commission, talking about the impact of falling number on grain grading and discounts.

But what I want to start with is tell me about the Harvest Sample Program that the CGC has and puts out.

Now, this is a delayed statistic.

It's, comes out from the Canadian Grain Commission.

It's a week to 10 days old by the time the, by the time we even see the number.

But the, uh, it does still showcase that we, you know, throughout this crop year, the, the process facilities have been struggling to get, uh, uh, you know, enough stocks to keep going at a full, full out pace, I guess you can say.