Brian Sanderoff

In District 3, incumbent Torres Alegre-Fernandez holds a 14-point lead over Republican State Senator Martin Zamora.

Political analyst Brian Sanderoff says both districts lean Democrat, making it difficult for the Republican challengers to unseat the incumbents.

The more competitive race is in the 2nd Congressional District, where Democrat Gabe Vasquez leads Republican Greg Cunningham by 4 points.

A journal poll was conducted October 1st through the 9th, surveying 380 likely voters in CD1 and 362 in CD3.

What's your broad take on that as we get started?

Well, you know, if Brian Sanderoff's poll has it, it's probably pretty darn close to what's going on.

Some of the other ones have a little push poll in them, meaning that they're done by the people to try to reinforce their position.

I don't have any reason at this point to think that they're wrong given historical, but it's one of those, as they say, the only poll that counts is the election.

The margin is nearly unchanged from August, when Holland led 49% to 43%.

Pollster Brian Sanderoff says Hall continues to face a major challenge in building some name recognition statewide, while Holland has significantly outraised him.

Holland has raised about $17.3 million since launching her campaign, compared with just roughly $1.9 million for Hall.

Holland holds a strong advantage among women, Hispanic and non-Anglo voters, and independents.

That's a, that's triple the time it usually takes, okay? Because they do so many interviews here.

So I think you've gotta credit the Journal for doing this, Brian Sanderoff for doing this.

Now, it doesn't mean it's right.

It doesn't mean it's right.

That's the same as the journal poll last week.

And there are some differences between the SurveyUSA and Brian Sanderoff in research and polling.

And I know the journal is going to have at least one more round of polling out, including the congressional races before Election Day.

in early November, so it'll probably come later this month.